Urena SCvs
Yaracuyanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yaracuyanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Urena SC 1-5 Yaracuyanos FC
Original prediction
Yaracuyanos FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 39.2% | 35.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.2% | 27.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 33.7% | 36.9% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Yaracuyanos FC
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Yaracuyanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00