Urena SCvs
Trujillanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urena SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Urena SC 2-2 Trujillanos FC
Original prediction
Urena SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 55.4% | 42.1% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 22.9% | 27.9% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 21.7% | 30.1% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Urena SC
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Urena SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40