GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Segunda División · 3/25/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Urena SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Urena SC are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Trujillanos FC are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (DDWD), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Urena SC hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Segunda División, while Urena SC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Urena SC

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Urena SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Urena SCLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Trujillanos FCDDWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.75/0.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Urena SCTrujillanos FC
55.0Attack28.9
68.3Defence71.1
63.3Form44.4
63.6Power50.4
1.06xG0.48
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