Urena SCvs
Deportivo Lara
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/6/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Lara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Urena SC 0-1 Deportivo Lara
Original prediction
Deportivo Lara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.0% | 31.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.4% | 40.0% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Lara
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Deportivo Lara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80