Urena SCvs
Club Atletico Barinas
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 10/4/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urena SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Urena SC 0-0 Club Atletico Barinas
Original prediction
Urena SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.2% | 48.4% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.1% | 25.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 23.6% | 25.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Urena SC
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Urena SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60