Cupa RomânieiCupa României
Wednesday, 29 July 202615:30Updated today
Urban Titu

Urban Titu

Home
L
vs
15:30
Voința Crevedia

Voința Crevedia

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
55% confidence
Urban Titu(21%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Urban Titu
21%
Draw
24%
Voința Crevedia
55%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Urban Titu
9
Voința Crevedia
34
Defence
Urban Titu
66
Voința Crevedia
91
Momentum
Urban Titu
0
Voința Crevedia
100
Danger (xG)
Urban Titu
0.00
Voința Crevedia
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 0.75 xG for Urban Titu and 1.70 xG for Voința Crevedia. Urban Titu's projected xG of 0.75 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-1 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Voința Crevedia's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (9). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.45 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Urban Titu's Defensive Stability (66) and Voința Crevedia's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Urban Titu)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Voința Crevedia)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Urban Titu)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Voința Crevedia)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Urban TituUrban Titu
L
Voința CrevediaVoința Crevedia
W

Probability breakdown

55% confidence
Urban Titu21%
Draw24%
Voința Crevedia55%

Voința Crevedia leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Voința Crevedia Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

Urban Titu host Voința Crevedia in Cupa României. Urban Titu have recorded LDLLLL in recent matches while Voința Crevedia arrive with a run of WDWWWW. These sides have met 3 times recently, averaging 1.7 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.70 expected goals for Voința Crevedia against 0.75 for Urban Titu — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Voința Crevedia have kept 6 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form Voința Crevedia arrive in better recent form — 5 wins from 10 matches (WDWWWW) against Urban Titu's 0. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Voința Crevedia are generating a commanding xG advantage — 1.70 projected against 0.75 for Urban Titu. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.95 is the clearest signal in the model that Voința Crevedia are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows Urban Titu have won 2 of the last 3 meetings — a competitive history that suggests Voința Crevedia's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.

Risk factors

  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Urban Titu 0Draws 01 Voința Crevedia
Avg goals: 1.0
16 May 2026
Urban Titu
L01
Voința Crevedia

Recent form

Urban Titu

Urban Titu

L
@ Voința Crevedia
16 May 2026
01
Voința Crevedia

Voința Crevedia

W
vs Urban Titu
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Urban Titu vs Voința Crevedia?

GoalVio's model predicts Urban Titu to win with 55% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Urban Titu vs Voința Crevedia?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Urban Titu vs Voința Crevedia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Urban Titu vs Voința Crevedia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more