Urawavs
Yokohama F. Marinos
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Urawa 3-2 Yokohama F. Marinos
Original prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 39.5% | 33.1% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.8% | 26.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.7% | 40.3% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Yokohama F. Marinos
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00