Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Urawa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Warriors are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Urawa hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Urawa holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Urawa
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Urawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 5.00/1.00