Urawavs
Tokyo Verdy
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/19/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Urawa 3-1 Tokyo Verdy
Original prediction
Urawa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 51.7% | 49.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.4% | 24.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.46 | 20.9% | 26.0% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Urawa
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Urawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UrawaLWWWW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tokyo VerdyDWDLL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
UrawaTokyo Verdy
61.9Attack14.3
19.0Defence57.1
42.9Form19.0
44.4Power33.5
1.70xG1.17