Urawavs
Tokyo Verdy
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Urawa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tokyo Verdy hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the J1 League, while Urawa holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Urawa
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
12.2%
Urawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40