UrawavsShimizu S-pulse

Urawa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shimizu S-pulse are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Urawa hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the J-League Cup, while Urawa holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.