Urawavs
Kawasaki Frontale
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Urawa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kawasaki Frontale are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kawasaki Frontale hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the J1 League, while Urawa holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Urawa
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
13.2%
Urawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40