GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Urawa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

11.5%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UrawaLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kashiwa ReysolLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UrawaKashiwa Reysol
66.7Attack83.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
24.7Power86.5
1.28xG1.86
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