Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Urawa are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kashima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 58.7-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80