Urawavs
JEF United Chiba
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Urawa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while JEF United Chiba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Urawa hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 9.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the J1 League, while Urawa holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Urawa
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Urawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80