Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Urawa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Tokyo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Urawa hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the J1 League, while Urawa holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Urawa
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
11.9%
Urawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40