GGOALVIO

Japan · WE League · 11/26/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Urawa Reds W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Urawa Reds W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while JEF United W are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Urawa Reds W hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (81.0 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the WE League, while Urawa Reds W holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Urawa Reds W

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

72.0%

Urawa Reds W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Urawa Reds WDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
JEF United WWLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Urawa Reds WJEF United W
83.3Attack27.3
74.2Defence65.2
86.4Form37.9
81.0Power45.9
1.90xG0.34
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