GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/13/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ural II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Second League - Group 4, while Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Uralets Nizhnyi TagilWDDDD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ural IILLDDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Uralets Nizhnyi TagilUral II
16.7Attack51.7
75.0Defence31.7
37.5Form31.7
46.0Power39.2
1.17xG0.73
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