Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ural are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olmaliq are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00