Uralvs
Nizhny Novgorod
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 7/29/2023, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ural are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nizhny Novgorod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.5 against 39.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Premier League, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80