Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Ural are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 73.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80