Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ural are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dynamo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dynamo hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dynamo
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
13.6%
Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20