GGOALVIO

Ural logoUralvsCSKA Moscow logoCSKA Moscow

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Russia · Premier League · 7/22/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Ural are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CSKA Moscow are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Moscow hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Premier League, while CSKA Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Moscow

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UralDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CSKA MoscowLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
UralCSKA Moscow
33.3Attack33.3
49.0Defence77.8
34.4Form55.6
41.5Power59.1
0.83xG1.27
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