Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akron · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ural are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Akron are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Akron hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Akron holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Akron
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Akron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00