Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Ural U20 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Zenit U19 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit U19 hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Youth Championship, while Zenit U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenit U19
Probability
80.5%
Model confidence
9.3%
Zenit U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20