Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ural U20 3-6 Zenit U19
Original prediction
Zenit U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.31 | 10.9% | 15.6% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.45 | 16.6% | 18.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 72.5% | 65.8% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
Zenit U19
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
65.8%
Zenit U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ural U20LLLWL
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Zenit U19LWLDW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Ural U20Zenit U19
36.7Attack86.7
31.7Defence56.7
31.7Form65.0
35.8Power67.9
0.95xG3.63