GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 5/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Ural U20 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Spartak Moskva U19 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moskva U19 hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Youth Championship, while Spartak Moskva U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moskva U19

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

9.2%

Spartak Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ural U20WDWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak Moskva U19DLWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Ural U20Spartak Moskva U19
38.6Attack57.9
35.1Defence36.8
33.3Form45.6
38.0Power47.8
1.56xG2.17
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