GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 5/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ural U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ural U20 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rubin Kazan U20 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural U20 hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Youth Championship, while Ural U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ural U20

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

11.1%

Ural U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ural U20WDLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rubin Kazan U20LLLLD

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ural U20Rubin Kazan U20
38.6Attack42.1
35.1Defence29.8
33.3Form26.3
38.0Power35.2
1.80xG1.51
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