GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 5/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Ural II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 66.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the Second League - Group 4, while Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

66.9%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ural IIDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodWLWLD

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ural IIPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
51.7Attack78.3
31.7Defence53.3
31.7Form70.0
39.2Power66.1
1.43xG3.19
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