Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ural II are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Nosta are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural II hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.7% in the Second League - Group 4, while Ural II holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ural II
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
67.7%
Ural II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.67