GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 4/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khimik Dzerzhinsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Ural II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Khimik Dzerzhinsk hold a 45.2-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 84.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.8% in the Second League - Group 4, while Khimik Dzerzhinsk holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Probability

81.8%

Model confidence

81.8%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ural IIWLDDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Khimik DzerzhinskWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ural IIKhimik Dzerzhinsk
51.7Attack91.7
31.7Defence76.7
31.7Form88.3
39.2Power84.4
0.77xG3.35
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