GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/6/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ural II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Ural II are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDDW), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Dinamo Barnaul are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural II hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 35.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Second League - Group 4, while Ural II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ural II

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Ural II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ural IILDDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.75/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Dinamo BarnaulWWLDL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ural IIDinamo Barnaul
51.7Attack41.7
31.7Defence21.7
31.7Form33.3
39.2Power35.1
2.62xG1.55
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