Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: URA 0-0 KCCA, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
URA 0-1 KCCA
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.5% | 34.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.6% | 30.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 35.9% | 34.5% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
URA 0–0 KCCA
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
URALLWWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KCCAWDLLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
URAKCCA
33.3Attack8.3
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
36.7Power39.5
0.98xG0.95