Damallsvenskan
Uppsala W
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Norrköping W
AwayThe model projects 1.70 xG for Uppsala W and 0.99 xG for Norrköping W. Norrköping W's projected xG of 0.99 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Uppsala W's defensive record — 2 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Norrköping W's limited attacking output (2 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.69 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesUppsala WNorrköping WProbability breakdown
Uppsala W leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Uppsala W Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Uppsala W host Norrköping W in Damallsvenskan. Uppsala W have recorded LLDLLL in recent matches while Norrköping W arrive with a run of LLDDDL.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Uppsala W are generating a clear xG advantage — 1.70 projected against 0.99 for Norrköping W. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.71 is the clearest signal in the model that Uppsala W are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Uppsala W's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Norrköping W defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Uppsala W fail to score in the first half.
Risk factors
- ⚠Uppsala W have been conceding 2.51 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Recent form
Uppsala W
Norrköping W
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Uppsala W vs Norrköping W?
GoalVio's model predicts Uppsala W to win with 41% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Uppsala W vs Norrköping W?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Uppsala W vs Norrköping W?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Uppsala W vs Norrköping W?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.