GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kristianstad W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Uppsala W 0-5 Kristianstad W

Original prediction

Kristianstad W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home20.804.4%7.2%2.8 pts
Draw9.389.7%12.1%2.4 pts
Away1.0685.9%80.7%-5.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–211%
  2. 2.0–311%
  3. 3.1–29%

Predicted outcome

Kristianstad W

Probability

80.7%

Model confidence

80.7%

Kristianstad W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Uppsala WLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kristianstad WWLWDW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Uppsala WKristianstad W
22.2Attack55.6
0.0Defence49.2
9.5Form50.8
13.7Power51.9
0.82xG2.85
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