Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Uppsala are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Karlberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 53.7-point power-rating edge (18.9 v 72.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
91.0%
Model confidence
91.0%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00