Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Järfälla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Uppsala are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Järfälla are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Järfälla hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (18.9 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Järfälla holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Järfälla
Probability
87.3%
Model confidence
87.3%
Järfälla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40