Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Uppsala are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Gute are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gute hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (18.9 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Gute holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gute
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Gute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40