Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Uppsala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Arlanda are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (18.9 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Arlanda holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arlanda
Probability
83.0%
Model confidence
83.0%
Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40