GGOALVIO

Latvia · Cup · 6/9/2023, 3:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Smiltene · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Upesciema Warriors are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Smiltene are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Smiltene hold a 45.2-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Cup, while Smiltene holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Smiltene

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Smiltene has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Upesciema WarriorsW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
SmilteneWLWLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Upesciema WarriorsSmiltene
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence16.7
0.0Form50.0
7.0Power52.2
2.16xG2.77
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