Unterhaching U19vs
SGV Freiberg Fussball U19
COMPLETEDGermany · U19 Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Unterhaching U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Unterhaching U19 1-1 SGV Freiberg Fussball U19
Original prediction
Unterhaching U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.2% | 46.8% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.3% | 22.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.5% | 30.5% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Unterhaching U19
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Unterhaching U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40