Unterhaching U19vs
Bayern München U19
COMPLETEDGermany · U19 Bundesliga · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern München U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Unterhaching U19 3-2 Bayern München U19
Original prediction
Bayern München U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 26.00 | 3.4% | 16.0% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 10.50 | 8.5% | 16.5% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 1.01 | 88.1% | 67.5% | -20.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Bayern München U19
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
Bayern München U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00