GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/17/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Unterhaching II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sonthofen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonthofen

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unterhaching IIDLWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SonthofenLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Unterhaching IISonthofen
33.3Attack52.0
36.5Defence51.0
32.3Form44.1
36.6Power49.7
1.03xG1.90
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