GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/16/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kottern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Unterhaching II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kottern are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Unterhaching II hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Kottern holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kottern

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Kottern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unterhaching IIDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
KotternWDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Unterhaching IIKottern
33.3Attack33.3
36.5Defence26.7
32.3Form20.0
36.6Power30.3
1.38xG1.46
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