GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/3/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Unterhaching II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

57.8%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unterhaching IILLLDW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ErlbachWLWDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Unterhaching IIErlbach
33.3Attack46.7
36.5Defence73.3
32.3Form53.3
36.6Power58.6
0.81xG1.83
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