GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/23/2026, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

UNSW are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sydney United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UNSWWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney UnitedWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UNSWSydney United
46.9Attack48.8
44.4Defence76.2
38.3Form71.4
44.3Power67.3
0.79xG1.61
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