New South Wales NPLNew South Wales NPL
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:12
UNSW

UNSW

Home
W
31
Full time
NWS Spirit

NWS Spirit

Away
L
The Village Green
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

NWS Spirit36%
UNSW36%
Draw29%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
UNSW
36%
Draw
29%
NWS Spirit
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
UNSW
73
NWS Spirit
9
Defence
UNSW
91
NWS Spirit
6
Momentum
UNSW
100
NWS Spirit
0
Danger (xG)
UNSW
1.80
NWS Spirit
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (UNSW)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (NWS Spirit)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (UNSW)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (NWS Spirit)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
UNSWUNSW
W
NWS SpiritNWS Spirit
L

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
UNSW36%
Draw29%
NWS Spirit36%

NWS Spirit leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

UNSW head into this in New South Wales NPL fixture at The Village Green in mixed form (W), while NWS Spirit arrive in mixed form (L). UNSW have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for NWS Spirit over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. UNSW's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable NWS Spirit defence (6/100), while NWS Spirit's attack is up against a watertight UNSW backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in UNSW's favour.

UNSW have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. NWS Spirit have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between UNSW and NWS Spirit in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: UNSW 3551%, Draw 2883%, NWS Spirit 3566%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

UNSW

UNSW

W
vs Rockdale City Suns
16 May 2026
20
NWS Spirit

NWS Spirit

L
vs Marconi Stallions
16 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win UNSW vs NWS Spirit?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for UNSW vs NWS Spirit?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in UNSW vs NWS Spirit?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in UNSW vs NWS Spirit?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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