GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 5/21/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Mediumconfidence

UNSAAC W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Sporting Cristal W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal W hold a 46.3-point power-rating edge (24.6 v 70.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Liga Women, while Sporting Cristal W holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal W

Probability

90.7%

Model confidence

13.0%

Sporting Cristal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UNSAAC WLLWLD

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting Cristal WWLWLW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
UNSAAC WSporting Cristal W
23.8Attack100.0
23.8Defence59.6
16.7Form66.7
24.6Power70.8
0.73xG4.50
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