GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/28/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympia Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

University of Tasmania are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Olympia Warriors are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (27.9 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Olympia Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympia Warriors

Probability

69.9%

Model confidence

7.4%

Olympia Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

University of TasmaniaLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 24 · avg 1.40/4.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Olympia WarriorsLWLDW

GF 15 · GA 15 · avg 3.00/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
University of TasmaniaOlympia Warriors
58.8Attack95.8
0.0Defence43.8
19.6Form66.7
27.9Power66.6
2.06xG4.50
View match centre →