University of Pretoriavs
Leicesterfield
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 1st Division · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leicesterfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
University of Pretoria 2-0 Leicesterfield
Original prediction
Leicesterfield
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.5% | 32.8% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 29.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 26.8% | 37.6% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Leicesterfield
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Leicesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20