University of Pretoriavs
Hungry Lions
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 1st Division · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: University of Pretoria 0-0 Hungry Lions, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
University of Pretoria 0-2 Hungry Lions
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.8% | 34.9% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.6% | 31.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.6% | 34.0% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
University of Pretoria 0–0 Hungry Lions
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.1%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60